30-YR FIXED6.71% +0.0515-YR FIXED6.04% +0.0610-YR TREASURY4.79% 0.0030-YR TREASURY5.27% 0.005-YR TREASURY4.54% -0.012-YR TREASURY4.39% 0.00FED FUNDS3.75% 0.00SOFR3.65% -0.01DOW53,686 +624S&P 5007,667 +35Freddie Mac · U.S. Treasury · Federal Reserve via FRED®30-YR FIXED6.71% +0.0515-YR FIXED6.04% +0.0610-YR TREASURY4.79% 0.0030-YR TREASURY5.27% 0.005-YR TREASURY4.54% -0.012-YR TREASURY4.39% 0.00FED FUNDS3.75% 0.00SOFR3.65% -0.01DOW53,686 +624S&P 5007,667 +35Freddie Mac · U.S. Treasury · Federal Reserve via FRED®
Friday, September 4, 2026Bay Area Market: Coverage updated daily

Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady on As-Expected Inflation Report, Dimming Odds of a September Fed Rate Hike

Takeaway: Rates should see little change today following an as-expected inflation report, but a Fed hike in September seems increasingly unlikely. Core inflation came in almost spot on with expectations, thwarting fears that inflation would continue to spike in the absence of an agreement with Iran. Core inflation in July came in at 0.22% month…

Bay Area real estate and housing market
Curated News BriefBased on original reporting by Redfin News (August 12, 2026). The summary below is the Journal’s; the local analysis is original commentary by Omar Murillo.

According to Redfin News, mortgage rates are expected to remain pretty stable today after inflation data came in right where economists thought it would. The report itself doesn't signal any surprise that might shake up the lending markets, so we're looking at a steady day for rates.

What's more interesting to me is what this means for the Federal Reserve's plans down the road. The reporting indicates that a rate hike in September is looking less and less likely. When inflation numbers come in as expected without any concerning upticks, it takes pressure off the Fed to make aggressive moves with their own rates.

This matters for folks in our market because the Fed's decisions directly influence the mortgage rates we're offering. When the likelihood of a September hike dims, it signals the Fed may be taking a more patient approach, which typically keeps pressure off longer term borrowing costs.

For buyers and sellers here in the Bay Area and East Bay, what I'm seeing locally is that this kind of stability in the rate outlook gives people a bit more confidence to plan their moves. When there's uncertainty about whether rates will spike suddenly, people tend to pause. But as it becomes clearer that big moves aren't coming immediately, folks feel a little more comfortable moving forward with their real estate decisions.