30-YR FIXED6.71% +0.0515-YR FIXED6.04% +0.0610-YR TREASURY4.79% +0.0430-YR TREASURY5.27% +0.025-YR TREASURY4.55% +0.062-YR TREASURY4.39% +0.05FED FUNDS3.75% 0.00SOFR3.65% -0.01DOW53,062 +295S&P 5007,667 +35Freddie Mac · U.S. Treasury · Federal Reserve via FRED®30-YR FIXED6.71% +0.0515-YR FIXED6.04% +0.0610-YR TREASURY4.79% +0.0430-YR TREASURY5.27% +0.025-YR TREASURY4.55% +0.062-YR TREASURY4.39% +0.05FED FUNDS3.75% 0.00SOFR3.65% -0.01DOW53,062 +295S&P 5007,667 +35Freddie Mac · U.S. Treasury · Federal Reserve via FRED®
Thursday, September 3, 2026Bay Area Market: Coverage updated daily

Starter Homes That Cost $1M Have Spread to More Than Half of States

A record 242 U.S. cities now have entry-level homes priced at $1 million or more, nearly triple the count before the pandemic The post Starter Homes That Cost $1M Have Spread to More Than Half of States appeared first on Zillow Research.

Bay Area real estate and housing market
Curated News BriefBased on original reporting by Zillow Research (June 15, 2026). The summary below is the Journal’s; the local analysis is original commentary by Omar Murillo.

You know, I was reading through some new research from Zillow that really puts into perspective just how much our housing market has shifted over the past few years. They're tracking something pretty striking: we now have a record 242 cities across the country where a basic starter home will run you a million dollars or more. That's nearly triple what we saw before the pandemic hit. To give you context on what a starter home means here, they're defining it as the most affordable third of homes in any given market, so we're talking about true entry-level pricing.

What's interesting is that this phenomenon used to be confined to a handful of coastal areas. Colorado was basically the only interior state with even one city in this category before 2020. Now you've got states like Texas, Wyoming, and Illinois with multiple cities hitting that million-dollar starter home threshold. The pandemic really reset things, and those changes have stuck around. We had this perfect storm of a decade-long housing shortage meeting suddenly low mortgage rates and massive buyer demand, which just pushed prices through the roof and apparently they're staying there.

California's still leading the pack with 105 cities where starter homes hit a million or more, but the biggest growth story right now is happening in the Northeast. New York and New Jersey combined added 15 such cities just in the past year. New York alone went from 12 cities before the pandemic to 41 now, while New Jersey went from just one to 26. The reason is pretty straightforward, they tell me: the Northeast has limited new construction and deep inventory shortages.

When you look at metro areas, the New York City region leads with 63 cities hitting that million-dollar starter home mark. San Francisco follows with 37 cities, then Los Angeles with 33. Here locally, San Jose sits at 13 cities with million-dollar starter homes. The good news buried in here is that conditions are gradually improving for buyers. The typical buyer now breaks even on the buy versus rent question in about six years, compared to over eight years just a couple years ago.

What I'm seeing locally in the Bay Area and Fremont is that we're still in that upper tier when it comes to entry-level pricing, but there's genuine relief on the horizon. With more inventory coming to market and prices growing more slowly, buyers who have their finances in order are actually in a better position than they were just recently. We're not going back to pre-pandemic affordability, but the trajectory is moving in a direction that makes homeownership feel less impossible for first-time buyers than it did a year or two ago.